• meowmeowbeanz@sopuli.xyz
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    4 days ago

    puts on logic glasses

    Oh look, another brilliant mind discovered that autism was identified before Tylenol existed, so obviously Tylenol can’t cause autism. That’s like saying cancer existed before radiation therapy, therefore radiation can’t cause cancer. Peak necessity/sufficiency confusion right here - apparently conditions can only have one cause and medical recognition equals temporal origin.

    But hey, let’s ignore that Swedish study of 2.5 million kids that found zero causal link when they actually controlled for confounding variables using sibling comparisons. Or those other high-quality studies that show the association completely disappears once you account for genetics and family environment. Who needs actual science when you have timeline gotchas?

    Meanwhile pregnant women might avoid the safest pain reliever available because some politician decided to manufacture outrage for political points. But at least someone gets to feel intellectually superior about their logical fallacy meme.

    🐱

    • rustydomino@lemmy.world
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      You’re not wrong. But my guess is that “autism predates Tylenol” is probably gonna convince more people than “large controlled study done by the Swiss”. People are generally really ignorant

        • squaresinger@lemmy.world
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          How on earth is that a thing? Do Americans just read the first two letters of a name and then give up?

          I mean, as an Austrian I get the confusion between Austria and AustrALia (emphasis added so that Americans can also see it), but SwEDEN vs SwISS is just wild.

          • merc@sh.itjust.works
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            I knew someone who lived in Switzerland. Switzerland isn’t part of the EU, Sweden is. That meant that a lot of online shopping sites for EU residents would ship to Sweden but not Switzerland. So, he would ship to his address, but in Sweden. The nice folks in Sweden would say “gosh, another person once again confused Sweden and Switzerland” and forward the shipment to Switzerland, and he’d get his stuff.

    • barnaclebutt@lemmy.world
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      Hmm, i don’t like your tone, but you are correct. ASD has a heritability greater than 80% which is higher than blood pressure and the same as human height. It’s a genetic disorder.

      Also, when was it necessary to differentiate ASD from schizophrenia? The age of onset of schizophrenia is around 18-21 and autism is present practically from birth (apparent 1-3 years). I think OP is wrongly interpreting the Kraepelinian dichotomy which is about bipolar disorder and schizophrenia.

      • squaresinger@lemmy.world
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        @meowmeowbeanz@sopuli.xyz is totally right. The meme is based on a wrong premise.

        It claims that Autism was a known thing in 1911 (true), and that Tylenol was created in 1955 (misleading since the active ingredient, Paracetamol was created in 1878 and was in wide use before the brand Tylenol was created). Then it implies that the argument is that Tylenol is the only cause of Autism and then poses that as a contradiction.

        Logically, that’s like claiming that some People died in 1700, and that the Ford Model T was only created in 1908 and then claiming that thus it’s nonsense that cars can kill people.

        On the one hand it ignores that the active ingredient of the medication was in use far earlier than that one random brand showing up, and on the other hand it claims that the argument with Tylenol and Autism is that every single case of Autism happens due to Tylenol, which pretty much nobody is claiming.

        So the meme is just wrong on many levels.


        So instead of making up and disproving a lie, why not use actual science? There’s overwhelming scientific evidence that Paracetamol has no effect on Autism.

        One might say that this doesn’t really sway those who choose to ignore science in favour of their own gut feelings, but on the other hand, does a fallacious lie sway them?

      • meowmeowbeanz@sopuli.xyz
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        4 days ago

        Well, the OP’s argument becomes nil when it’s based on such a basic fallacy, I mean c’mon. Temporal precedence ≠ causal impossibility.

        And since autism-as-symptom existed in 1911 but autism-as-disorder wasn’t differentiated until later, the meme’s temporal logic becomes even more meaningless. lol

        🐱🐱🐱🐱

    • ryannathans@aussie.zone
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      Paracetamol predates autism, the meme is wrong. It refers to a random brand, not the substance

    • merc@sh.itjust.works
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      Meanwhile pregnant women might avoid the safest pain reliever available

      More importantly, the safest fever-reducer available. Fevers are actually known to be damaging to fetuses, unlike acetaminophen.

  • Triumph@fedia.io
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    Tylenol is a brand. Acetominophen was created in 1878 (or 1852, depending on who you ask).

    e: That doesn’t make RFKJr not wrong and insane, in case it needed saying.

    • shalafi@lemmy.world
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      Over half of Americans read at a 6th-grade level or lower and our President speaks at a 4th-grade level. How many you suppose know Tylenol and acetaminophen are the same thing?

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      Wasn’t ibuprofen what they were blaming? Or did they switch to acetaminophen?

      Edit: just saw the Trump clip, now it’s acetaminophen’s fault, lmao. Funny how it’s something that’s actually safe to take for pain during pregnancy, because of course they can never pass up a chance at making women suffer

      • merc@sh.itjust.works
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        They don’t care about women’s suffering, but I think this is a case where it’s incompetence rather than malice.

        What’s extra crazy about this is that one thing we do know, for certain, can be damaging to a fetus is for the mother to have a fever. Acetaminophen reduces fevers. This is yet another case of an anti-vaxx nutjob thinking the cure is worse than the disease.

    • Scubus@sh.itjust.works
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      Not to mention, this doesnt prove tylenol doesnt cause cancer, it just proves that tylenol isnt the only cause of cancer.

      Obv it doesnt, but this argument is just bad.

  • Schadrach@lemmy.sdf.org
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    Not to defend RFK, but this argument is dumb.

    People from everywhere it doesn’t natively grow developed cancer long before they had access to tobacco. That doesn’t prove tobacco use doesn’t cause cancer, it just means it isn’t the only potential cause.

    • Nalivai@lemmy.world
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      That’s because cancer is a category of diseases, not a single one. Specific types of cancer that are caused by smoking are caused by smoking (there is afaik 12 of those, and some are associated with prolonged inhalation of any smoke, and some are only tabaco-related, but it doesn’t matter)

      • null_dot@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        The point is, the claim is that Tylenol is “linked to” autism.

        This post is rebutting the claim that Tylenol “causes” autism.

        Thats a classic straw man argument.

        • grue@lemmy.world
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          No, the post is claiming that because Tylenol was discovered after autism, it can’t be a cause of it. That’s flawed logic: it’s true that autism must also have some other cause, but it’s very possible in principle for things to have multiple causes, so the timeline argument proves nothing.

          That’s not to say that Dipshit McBrainworm’s claim has any sort of merit whatsoever, mind you. It’s just that this argument is defective.

          • Nalivai@lemmy.world
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            If there is a bump in cases of autism post-Tylenol, then it might be a cause, if there isn’t, it can’t be. That’s the reason for the timeline argument, that’s what it proves.

        • Nalivai@lemmy.world
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          “Linked to” means “might cause in some cases”. If it’s “linked” then it should be at least correlated. The disconnect between the two shows that it isn’t.

      • grue@lemmy.world
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        Are there any cancers that were found to be “caused by smoking” before 2003?

        Of those, are there any that have subsequently also been found to be “caused by” vaping (such as the tobacco-related ones)?

        If so, then it means vaping is indeed a cause (as opposed to the singular cause) of those cancers even though they were around before vaping was invented (in 2003).

        That’s why this meme is bad.

        • Nalivai@lemmy.world
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          If you focus on nicotine specifically, nicotine causes specific type of cancer. Change in the delivery mechanism would cause fluctuations in dosage, but it doesn’t matter in this case (we ignore other types of cancer not to bog down the analogy).
          If one would argue that Tylenol causes autism, two things should be shown, the delivery mechanism of Tylenol before it was invented/isolated, to explain pre-Tylenol cases of autism, and/or specific uptick in autism when it was started to be used as medication.
          It’s possible that the meme is good you just didn’t get it.

          • captainlezbian@lemmy.world
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            Or that Tylenol is able to aggravate a pathway that results in development of autism. This would move it from “Tylenol causes autism” to “maternal use of Tylenol may be a trigger for development of autism in utero”. The latter statement would also require providing compelling that autism (or a condition currently indistinguishable from it) is either not genetic as currently suspected or is like schizophrenia in requiring both a genetic predisposition and a “trigger”.

            Now, that’s quite a bit to have to prove and there’s no way in hell RFK Jr of all people managed to figure it out in 6 fucking months. So yeah if China or the EU starts saying this maybe it’s worth considering the possibility, otherwise it’s just another unsubstantiated claim that unfortunately means pregnant people are going to be recommended it’s not worth risking

    • I_Has_A_Hat@lemmy.world
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      Also dumb because it wasn’t until 1943 that we had the first diagnosis of autism. OP is just making shit up.

  • BombOmOm@lemmy.world
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    The logic of the ‘meme’ is just bad. Something being identified before something else does not mean the second thing cannot create the first.

    Cancer existed before cigarettes, yet cigarettes still cause cancer. Using this ‘meme’s’ logic, “anyone trying to tell you that cigarettes cause cancers is entirely full of crap”.

    • Doomsider@lemmy.world
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      This is another dumb take. Cigarettes don’t cause cancer, they increase cancer risk.

      RFK is claiming he knows the cause of Autism not something that can increases its risks.

      The logic of this meme is sound.

      • psud@aussie.zone
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        You know how cigarettes increase cancer risk? They do it by causing cancer

        • Doomsider@lemmy.world
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          We are here talking about RFK’s insistence that Tylenol causes Autism.

          Cigarettes don’t cause cancer as many people who smoke never get cancer. They do increase the risk of developing it though.

          Once again though, we are not talking about increased risk and nor is RFK.

          I can assure you I take smoking cigarettes seriously. In fact, I helped lobby to end smoking in bars and restaurants in my town and I was successful in doing so.

      • BananaIsABerry@lemmy.zip
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        This is giving some strong “bullets don’t kill people, it’s the blood loss and organ damage” and I don’t like it.

        • Doomsider@lemmy.world
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          Hey, I know reading comprehension may not be your thing and this is certainly not my fight. I will break it down one more time for clarity.

          RFK claims it CAUSES Autism. He does not claim merely it increases the risk.

          This meme stated quite logically that if it is the cause of Autism and Autism existed before the medication use was widespread, then clearly it does not cause Autism.

          Obviously it does not cause Autism, in fact I doubt it is even a risk factor for it. This is pseudo science bullshit that is being used to sell made up “treatments”.

          Frankly, people that are having a hard time with this are playing devil’s advocate, misinformed, or are MAHA.

          So what part of this are you not “getting”

  • glitchdx@lemmy.world
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    it’s a bad argument, but the people claiming that Tylenol causes autism aren’t using logic to make their claim either.

  • TigerAce@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    4 days ago

    Just because something already exists, doesn’t mean it can’t be also caused by something else. Like canser. It already exists. But smoking can cause it too.

    Next to that, it’s paracetamol. It predates the discovery/naming of autism. It’s already proven not to be the cause by other studies. Of course these studies could have been wrong, but I highly doubt that.

    So this statement is incorrect. Doesn’t change the fact that I don’t believe a word of either Trump or RFK. I still believe science and I still don’t believe pseudoscience.

      • pacology@lemmy.world
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        That’s not modern science works. The “modern” scientific method (as in post-medieval) requires you to have a positive hypothesis that you can test (as in disprove). Starting with a negative statement doesn’t work in this system. Maybe here we are witnessing the birth of a new scientific system or this administration is so backwards that they rewinding all the way to pre-Galilean times.

        • scutiger@lemmy.world
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          Finding no link isn’t proof that no link exists. Only that none has been found. It’s evidence, not proof.

          • TigerAce@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            That’s how science works in general. Stuff is proven until proven otherwise.

            I just don’t believe the pseudoscience claims from RFK or Trump.

            • scutiger@lemmy.world
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              Their announcement is bullshit for sure. There’s no evidence to support their claims, and lots to support the contrary.

              • TigerAce@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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                Yeah but that’s the thing nowadays: there’s an attack on facts, proof and science in general. It’s all about feelings and the loudness of the biggest screamers (populist politicians and extremist influencers). Scientists and fact checkers are portrayed as dumb, incompetent, terrorists, etc. These arguments are the weakest possible in a discussion but somehow people just follow these idiots and reject science and facts.

                The same happened when the church felt threatened by science during the discovery of the round earth traveling around the sun. The general public was riled up against science, even forcing academia to practice in secret.

  • blackbrook@mander.xyz
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    Listen I know the RFK claim is nonsense but that doesn’t excuse faulty logic. This is like saying cancer existed before X so X can’t be a carcinogen.

    • SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca
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      There are many countries worldwide that use a fraction of this drug compared to the US. Americans eat them like candy. Regardless, there is no difference in incidence of autism.

      • Tomtits@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        It’s always about money.

        Wonder what the announcement will be? Wonder which drug they’ll push and which of Trumps cronies will own the pharma company

    • LillyPip@lemmy.ca
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      Literally no Americans know what paracetamol is. Randomly ask anyone.

      Americans know brand names: Tylenol, Advil, Prilosec, Ambien.

      I’ll bet you could survey Americans and 999/1000 have never even have heard the word paracetamol. Or zolpidem, and slightly less often, omeprazole (though that one may be increasing due to the general state of things and subsequent need for prescriptions). Most won’t have heard anything but the brand names, and the brand names have been drilled into their heads by way of constant advertising.

      US brands have spend stupid amounts of money making sure people think of their propriety name instead of the real name of any drug.

      • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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        Americans know “paracetamol” about as well as you apparently know “acetaminophen”.

        They are the same compound.

        “Paracetamol” is the generic term used in Europe and Australia. “Acetaminophen” is the generic term commonly used in the Americas.

        • LillyPip@lemmy.ca
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          Americans barely know ‘acetaminophen’ , too. Some, sure. Most know Tylenol.

        • merc@sh.itjust.works
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          Both are slightly less clunky words created from the corpse of “N-acetyl-para-aminophenol”

          “Acetaminophen” takes the “acet” from “acetyl” and “aminophen” from “aminophenol”.

          “Paracetamol” takes the “para” part, and then a few other random letters that don’t really make sence. “cet” from “acetyl”, and maybe “am” from the start of “amphenol” with the “ol” ending from the same word, ignoring that it ends in “nol”?

          • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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            Paracetamol" takes the “para” part, and then a few other random letters that don’t really make sence.

            Because it actually comes from a different chemical name for the same compound: para-acetylaminophenol

            • merc@sh.itjust.works
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              Whichever version you use, it doesn’t really make sense. The para part, sure. But “cetamol”? I guess you can can smush two of the words together and go from “para-acet” to “paracet”. But, the “amol” ending? It seems to be borrowing the “am” from amino, and the “ol” from the end. But, that’s a weird set of letters to borrow, and weird to not borrow the full “amin” from amino and not borrow the full “enol” from phenol.

      • SolSerkonos@piefed.social
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        Nobody would’ve heard paracetamol, but you’d probably get some hits with acetaminophen. Not a lot, to be clear, but some.

      • TrickDacy@lemmy.world
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        I know several Americans who know what paracetamol is. Not sure it’s as rare as you think.

      • RebekahWSD@lemmy.world
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        I know almost all my meds by the generic names because I’m broke and that’s what the pharmacy will give me. Ibuprofen, levothyroxine, etc. Alprazolam.

      • HootinNHollerin@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        I most certainly do because I’ve traveled a lot

        But people that lump all Americans are just as ignorant as who they’re trying to criticize

        • LillyPip@lemmy.ca
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          I’m not ‘lumping all Americans’.

          I’ve lived here for decades. I’m quite solidly informed.

    • shalafi@lemmy.world
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      The argument would be that autism is on the rise, not that it’s a new thing. I’m assuming this crowd understands the “rise” is from finer-tuned diagnoses. Hell, there may be another factor, but money says it ain’t Tylenol.

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    Paracetamol, what you lot call acetaminophen, was first synthesized in 1877(or maybe much earlier in 1852). It wasnt widely used until the 1950s. Tylenol is a brand name that means fuck all to any conversation.

  • YoiksAndAway@piefed.zip
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    Careful! Cancer was around before cigarettes or dioxin. Not that I don’t think RFK is full of shit, but sometimes it’s best to ignore bad arguments when there are so many good ones to be made.

  • elbiter@lemmy.world
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    There’s no time or resources in the world to debunk all the bullshit this people generate. Every day, all the time…

  • 58008@lemmy.world
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    There’s a 100% correlation between a child coming into direct physical contact with their family doctor and that same child later being diagnosed with autism. Show me an example where this was not the case. Family doctors are sporing autismomes like a tickled mushroom and no one is talking about it.

  • ragebutt@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    There is some data to suggest there may be a link.

    However. The data is very limited. Mt sinai did a meta of 46 studies and found a link (not necessarily causal). A Swedish population study of like 2.5 million children found no link. Etc.

    The modest increase that could exist is unclear and confounded. Is it Tylenol or is something that the Tylenol is being taken for? Eg if the mom is having frequent headaches or fevers is the underlying condition impacting development and making it look like Tylenol does?

    But why?

    Two big answers:

    Kenvue (Tylenol manufacturer) is not exactly a “pharmaceutical giant”. They’re a much easier target for rfk to go after with much less in terms of resources. They absolutely will sue though and appear to be preparing to do so though. But going after vaccines (his big target), especially stuff like Covid vaccines, means going after real pharmaceutical giants. Moderna, Pfizer, Johnson and Johnson, etc. deeeeeep pockets and serious legal teams. This may be a fight he feels he can “win” to start gaining momentum and precedent.

    IMO the bigger reason is political capital. He has a large following of desperate parents that want an answer for why their child has autism or intellectual disability. I know a lot of people on here are like “autism is a superpower” and that’s great but these people are stuck in the disability mindset. It’s also important to remember that autism is a broad spectrum. Some of these parents have children that are nonverbal, that can’t toilet or shower independently, that get extremely violent when frustrated, that need 24/7 assistance and will never live independently. Of course some of them are just frustrated that their otherwise fine kid isn’t “normal” enough but that’s a whole other frustrating thing.

    They’re desperate for answers. The reality of the situation is that there isn’t a simple answer. The overwhelming evidence suggests a combination of factors: genetics, environmental, social and behavioral. But this is unsatisfying. I’ve worked with people on this for years and when you say “it’s probably a combination of factors” they are never happy with that. They want something to blame. This is the political capital. He is giving them that. Basically everyone has taken Tylenol within the past year. Most pregnant women will take Tylenol at some point for discomfort, pain, fever, etc.

    Now they will not only have the answer to “what did this”, they will have him as a person to hold up as the savior who gave them the answer. I saw the same thing happen when I started around 2010. Even though it was years after it happened people still attached to Wakefield and were so grateful he gave them the explanation that it was the MMR vaccine. They’d “protect their other children” as a result by not vaccinating them. Didn’t matter if you pointed out Wakefields proven financial links to an alternative MMR vaccine, the retraction of the paper, him getting his medical license revoked, etc. That’s how desperate they are for answers. FWIW Wakefield is still super rich and got married to literal supermodels so that’s why he doubled down and probably a major factor in why rfk is doing the same

    • FuglyDuck@lemmy.world
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      4 days ago

      Do you have any idea how common it is to give people, even kids, Tylenol?

      I’m not looking up their meta, but I suspect it’s as informative as the meta that shows a “link” between autism and vaccines.

      Might as well investigate a link between Peanut butter and jelly sandwiches or wearing clothes.

      • ragebutt@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        4 days ago

        Yes, I touched upon this towards the end of my (admittedly lengthy) post. Also, it’s not “their” meta. It’s a meta done by mt Sinai and Harvard (eg done with rigor) which openly admits the link cannot be established as causal because, as stated, there are many confounding factors to consider

      • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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        4 days ago

        Yeah, acetaminophen is like the most common painkiller and fever reducer. They make syrup versions of it you can give to children. And, uh, suppositories for babies that are too small for the syrup.

        • ragebutt@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          4 days ago

          I know youre just speaking for example but just so anyone reading knows if a baby is that small please call a doctor as you should not be treating them with otc meds. Fever or significant discomfort in the first two months is potentially a real big deal and should always be evaluated by a physician

          • boonhet@sopuli.xyz
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            3 days ago

            That’s also true. I don’t remember mine having any fever or significant discomfort beyond colics in the first months. Teething is when the pain started so like 2 or 3 months in IIRC. Then we definitely had to break out the stuff once or twice. Ex said she asked the doc for advice with that but who knows, she wasn’t exactly honest about anything ever. If she says the sky is blue, I’m going to triple check it at this point. Luckily I have a very healthy and happy baby, barely ever has a fever or complains about anything besides hunger and sleepiness.

      • dondelelcaro@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        I always turn these around and ask given the study size, what is the confidence interval of the number of autism diagnoses attributable to Tylenol?

        Often the number is surprisingly low given the other factors (and frequently uncontrolled confounders.)

        • FuglyDuck@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          Not only that. But the sheer number of kids who didn’t develop autism but had Tylenol (or the vaccines! Same shit different goat.)

          Like, most kids in the US had Tylenol. Most kids don’t develop autism. Other things most kids are exposed to: going outside. Going inside. Having a pb&j. Wearing clothing. Eating ice cream. The incidence of going to McDonald’s for soft serve and being told the machine is broke.

          It’s patently ridiculous, and even if there’s a correlation, it’s pretty clear something else is going on, and you don’t have to be a physician to see that.

          • Schadrach@lemmy.sdf.org
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            3 days ago

            Like, most kids in the US had Tylenol. Most kids don’t develop autism.

            Except the claim being studied is that Tylenol might cause autism when administered to the mother while pregnant. There are a lot of drugs that will cause a problem to a fetus when administered to a pregnant woman, but do not cause that problem when administered to someone outside the womb. Building a human from scratch is a fiddly process.

    • MrSulu@lemmy.ml
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      4 days ago

      Given the overwhelming number of well structured studies showing no relationship, the meta analysis that potentially, may, if you quint and really try to bend the light to see it in a certain way, is simply too far away to have any meaningful value.

      • ragebutt@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        4 days ago

        This is bad reasoning. For one the mt Sinai meta is not poorly structured. For two there’s not exactly an “overwhelming number” of contrary studies. For three there’s a number of studies besides the mt Sinai study. You dismiss the meta on lack of merit without actually examining it and place it against fantastical papers (that may or may not exist, and as mentioned the quantity of which is being exaggerated)

        In addition to the mt Sinai paper 2 other similar papers came out in 2025 (one from Harvard, one from environmental health) showing a link. There’s also the danish birth study which showed a link between Tylenol and a specific presentation of autism (hyperkinetic symptoms, closer to adhd).

        Papers to the contrary aren’t necessarily “overwhelming” either, there’s 3-4 metas recently that show no causal link and the big one is the Swedish birth study I referenced in the initial post. But that’s countered by the above metas and the danish birth study.

        Therein lies the issue and why it’s a point of debate. RFK is wrong to do what he is doing because the data is not strong enough to make the bold claim that he is making. He is a charlatan and likely scamming somehow (perhaps to sell folinic acid, which also has spurious data for efficacy). However, on the same point to reject the potential of Tylenols impact entirely because RFK is interested in it as a potential causal factor is equally foolish. It could be a factor. We don’t know yet. It needs more exploration. This could increase funding to explore it potentially (which could be a total waste of time).

        IMO you should probably listen to the mt Sinai paper, which recommends that you take Tylenol if necessary during pregnancy as “untreated maternal fever and pain pose risks such as neural tube defects and preterm birth” and ultimately recommends a balanced approach limiting Tylenol exposure, eg try not to take tons of it

        • MrSulu@lemmy.ml
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          4 days ago

          My job and my team are expertis in clinical evidence within the UK. If the ABPI recognise our views, I think we’re good enough here.

          • ragebutt@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            3 days ago

            Again, I think Tylenol is ultimately safe but I think it’s silly to hand wave entire well constructed papers based on the nothing you’ve presented (other than appeal to authority, which is meaningless, because this is an anonymous forum. I can literally say that I’m osterholm and you should listen to me (I’m not though)).

            The debate is there, you’re clearly on the dissent side. Great, but at least substantiate your views

    • SaveTheTuaHawk@lemmy.ca
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      3 days ago

      The point of picking Tylenol is so Trump can say he fixed autism, like the war between Aberbiajan and Albania.