Listening to your intuition works in certain situations.
Always listen to your intuition when it comes to the behavior of others (and animals). Ie: If you think they’re lying or trying to pull something over you - for are. If something doesn’t seem right with someone, there is something wrong. Make an excuse and leave.
Intuition also works if you’re an expert at something (like an actual expert, not something you learned from TikTok.)
Intuition doesn’t work on logic and if you’re not an expert. Dunning kruger effect is real.
Intuition also doesn’t work on your emotions. Just because you feel something (or think something), doesn’t mean that it’s true.
For the naysayers, intuition has actually been proven to exist, the more scientific term is implicit learning and tacit knowledge. In summary we actually are much more aware of our environment and lived experience when we realize. Through this unconscious awareness we can actually pick up on patterns and use this passive knowledge in our lives as intuition.
Sources:
https://cognitivepsychology.com/Implicit_Learning
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tacit_knowledge
Learning about the staring experiment is rather interesting too!
As a caveat, you need to allow good information in, get offline, talk to people in real life, move your body. If you’re implicitly learning garbage, your intuition will be garbage.
I pay attention to a lot of off the wall information sources but unfortunately people tend to ignore me. (For example I heard about this mystery illness in China in December 2019 - but you know I was just being an alarmist.) I regularly mention topics and will be blown off by my friends but frustratingly a year or two later Jon Oliver will do a special on that very subject and the same people will suddenly care about it and excitedly explain it to me. Because now they know all about it and are interested. And don’t mistake me. I’m glad Jon Oliver is making some of these topics mainstream but it’s endlessly infuriating that it takes an HBO funded comedian to allow the people around me to open their minds enough to talk about the topics I care about. Even if they never acknowledge these things have been my special interests for-fucking-ever.
Pretty damn good. Sometimes scary.
Can best be described as cassandraic
Ooh thanks for teaching me a new word. I’m the same. It sucks how often I’m right about bad stuff that I think is going to happen. Cursed.
Intuition or just highly tuned pattern recognition?
Or specifically seeing things that break the pattern, even if only slightly?
I find four leaf clovers all the time they just pop out to me in my peripheral vision
Is there a difference?
Nope.
Intuition is a word for thoughts that we don’t experience consciously until they’re fully formed. Large language models only have access to intuition, which is why they’re so racist. They always say the first thing that pops into their head, and they can’t explain why they thought of it except by guessing.
Incorrect.
LLMs do not have “thoughts” or “intuition” by any definition.
They organise tokens into groups based on statistical probability, and convert those tokens into words and sentences.
They can explain why they resolved a given answer, but he answer is always unsatisfying: this accumulation of tokens seemed to be the most likely response based on my probability matrix.
The problem you’re trying to convey is that humans can not summarise or read or understand a probability matrix with many billions of parameters.
They organise tokens into groups based on statistical probability, and convert those tokens into words and sentences.
Yeah, that’s the way your brain works when you’re not paying attention. That’s why your dreams are like that. It’s just a bunch of vaguely probable stuff based on your daily experiences.
humans can not summarise or read or understand a probability matrix with many billions of parameters.
Uhhhhh, yeah they can. The human brain has 86 billion neurons. If you put all 86 billion of those neurons and their connections into a matrix, you get a mathematical representation of the human brain’s information processing. You’re running the calculations on all 86 billion neuron matrix every second, manually, one neuron at a time.
Like, I’m guessing you’re not really a math person, so let Me explain in simple terms: multiplication is just a shorter way to do addition, right? 6 * 5 is just 6+6+6+6+6, collapsed down. So if you have a 10 year old kid who can count out all the numbers one by one, and a computer that knows some computational tricks to figure out 6 * 5, that’s the same, right?
So your neurons in your brain are biological computers, and that makes them really energy efficient. Electronic computers kinda suck at that efficient stuff. So where your neurons can manually calculate 86 billion parameters many times a second, a computer has to use shortcuts. And vector cross-multiplication is just a more efficient way for a computer to calculate neuron firings. The abstract mathematical operations are the same in principle.
Now there are a lot of differences between your brain and an LLM, and I’ll be happy to explain them. But matrix multiplication is not one of them. That’s stinky nonsense.
Humans can not read or understand the probability matrix in which an LLM stores its parameters.
Neither can an LLM. Try asking ChatGPT to run a matrix cross-multiplication, it sucks as badly as if you tried to do it without any paper.
An LLM can’t read the matrix in which it stores its own parameters?
That’s like saying a human can’t read the neurons in their own brain. Sure, looking at them through a microscope, we can not.
You don’t seem to have any idea what you’re talking about.
This
Does this count for adhd as well? I feel like I’ve definitely felt like this before. Predict what’s going to happen, tell them not to do it. They do it anyway, shit falls apart. Rinse and repeat.
I feel like with AuDHD it’s more intense and more correct with the pattern recognition
I think that’s just intelligence.
Validation biais?
I am cursed with people asking my advice, my advice being correct, them failing to heed my advice to their detriment. Time after time. People value my judgment, because it is pretty good, then proceed to do the opposite of it.
That probably sounds self absorbed, but it’s not like I’m an oracle or anything. It’s just usually fairly obvious stuff, but people are often irrational and do wacky things.
Yep, it’s our curse, like Cassandra.
Oh boy, are you me? I’ve spent most of my life feeling like Cassandra. I’m not even particularly smart, but it’s like a lot of people just can’t see the incredibly obvious and inevitable outcomes of their actions?
I had a coworker like this. Always asking me for advice, then going out and doing the opposite. At every turn, she asked me what she should do, and at every turn, she did something else.
She ended up cheating on her husband by going after an ex who had just got out of prison. It was at that point where I (metaphorically) threw my hands in the air and was done. I’m not going to keep wasting my energy trying to help someone who insists on ignoring me and making stupid decisions all the time. She clearly had her mind already made up, there’s no need to drag me into it.
People like that aren’t asking for advice, they have already decided and want validation/permission for the choice they already made.
You’re absolutely right. I didn’t have that kind of insight at 19, but I’ve learned to recognize people like that in the years since. Which is great, because I definitely don’t have the patience for that nonsense anymore.
I feel your frustration. I felt the same way about parenting. The number of “you’ll understand when you’re a parent” responses I got was depressing. Guess what, now I have a child to apply it on, my advice works awesomely 90% of the time.
Ha told you so. The lesson you should learn is everyone else is wrong and I’m right
My selection bias is unparalleled
I was going to say confirmation bias, but selection works too.
It’s pretty good, but I still only believe things with evidence because if you’re wrong once, it will butterfly effect all over your life.
Mostly because the typicals in your life think you don’t deserve any benefits from your mind, only downsides, and wait for the moment you stumble to dogpile you and discount anything you said before and ever say again.
My intuition is fantastic, I trust my gut on everything because it’s never let me down. I think it’s amazing how countless generations before me were able to hone this instinct to become what it is today. Those that ignored these feelings ended up paying for it with their lives, while those who listened managed to pass on their genes, eventually passing the trait to those of us here today.
Which is why when I get a bad feeling about something, I sometimes imagine a crowd of my foremothers/forefathers standing there going, “GO! GET OUT! NOW!” as if they can see the danger that I can’t.
As to neurodivergence, I’ve spent a lot of time learning to know myself. I wouldn’t be surprised if being different from most folks causes a lot of us to self-reflect. For me, that self-reflection includes evaluating what I feel and why I might be feeling it. Having different mental filters for stimuli, I know for a fact that I consciously recognize things that most people don’t - usually little visual details, or background sounds. Surely, there’s far more that my subconscious brain is picking up on that I am not consciously aware of. So when I overwhelmingly get the sensation that something is wrong, I react - usually either by investigating what is causing it (if I’m stuck somewhere, like at work), or by leaving the situation (if I’m in a public place that I can freely leave.)
(Slight tangent) Sometimes I think of us as “the canaries in the coalmine” so to speak. With our different sensory experiences, we might be the first people to notice distressing stimuli, but that doesn’t mean we’re the only ones affected. For example, how background traffic noise increases stress levels - everyone can feel the effect, sometimes without knowing why. But usually it’s us neurodivergent folk that are the first to say, “My god, it’s way too loud here!” And we’re right. If it’s too loud for us, it’s probably too loud for others too - they just don’t consciously realize it yet.
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Go to a rural town in Utah. Listen to a medium/long conversation between two local people at a gas station or diner etc. Drive to another rural town. Start a conversation the exact same way you just saw and play the role of whoever started the conversation.
There is a non-zero chance the entire new conversation will replicate the original one verbatim even down to the pauses, cadence, and inflections of the original conversation, despite it occurring with an entirely different person several dozen miles away.
Intuition is easy when people around you think exactly the same way about everything
You found the IRL equivalent of Skyrim “radiant A.I.” NPCs
There’s sure to be a mod to fix this?
UESP - Unofficial Earth Sim Patch
That’s a wiki: Unofficial Elder Scrolls Pages
I meant in Skyrim, not IRL. Although i can relate.
Oh yeah, there’s definitely mods to fix everything in Skyrim. I thought you were continuing the bit 😂
Fled America when Biden was still president. Urged all my friends to do the same. If told-ya-so’s were money I’d have fixed income in perpetuity.
Unfortunately, moving is expensive and citizenship elsewhere is expensive and complicated.
I’ll get the fuck out eventually. Hopefully.
A lot of people don’t have good options, I hate how much governments treat people like property and immigrants like invaders. I’m a dual citizen but getting family visas for everyone else has been financially ruinous. Hope they can get citizenship soon.
When trump won in 2016 I told all my trans friends to buy guns and bought them books about starting mutual aid/defense networks, explaining to them the democratic party soon would abandon them.
They were all still pretty liberal and were still very antigun. A lot of them thought I was losing it at the time. Since then I’ve taken most of them to the gun range to teach them how to shoot.
You’re a good friend. Hope the mutual aid is going well, it’s a less exciting day than the gun range maybe - but that’s going to be a big deal sooner or later.
Yeah, unfortunately we live in one of the most conservative states in the US, so if something were to happen to them calling the police wouldn’t exactly be a great option. If all the bigots are strapped up there really isn’t any other option than to arm yourself to protect your community.
You don’t have to defend it to me. Back in the states I practiced with my own piece and even did my own handloads sometimes.
