I would imagine so.

rookie mistake 🤣

Indeed, we’re gonna be facing much bigger problems. And on top of that, our whole global economy is built entirely on just in time supply chains. Any time there’s a breakdown in shipping then the whole house of cards quickly comes crashing down. And most of the world has no local redundancies that would facilitate any measure of self sufficiency.

yeah the whole thing is obviously a hare brained scheme

I recall reading it was a major factor in collapse of Rome as well.

Exactly, a lot of the American doctrine is completely outdated. Stuff like drones, hypersonics, cheap IR sensors, completely change the game.

Are you suggesting they wouldn’t be stupid enough to do that?

An even bigger factor is that Iran has modern technology that can match the US.

relatable :)

Yup, watch the video, Postol discusses exactly how they would do it.

Oh I think it’s still a very real possibility, but it would be a truly desperate move on the part of the US.

The strategic reality of Russia’s neighbours is obviously that they can’t change their geography and have to find a way to live with Russia. That should be obvious to anybody with even a minimally functioning brain. The war in Ukraine is a direct result of Europe acting in the American interest and participating in expansion of NATO. It’s incredible to me that people still can’t understand this basic fact.

Meanwhile, the report you yourself linked clearly shows that Russian energy exports have remained stable overall. The harm that’s been done to Europe is far greater than any profits Russia has lost over the past 4 years. Not only that, but with Russian supplies cut off and now the Gulf, Europe finds itself entirely dependent on the US which is a predatory power.

The nuclear option is definitely a possibility, but it would be a disastrous move for the US to take. As Ted Postol explained in this interview, Iran already has sufficient material to construct atomic bombs. They don’t need any large facilities to do that, and they don’t need to test them ahead of time. This can be done in a tunnel with very little space. Around three atomics would basically end Israel, and they have enough material for around a dozen. The key part is that they can make them even after they’ve been nuked.

But even leaving that aside, using of nuclear weapons in an unprovoked war of aggression would make the US a global pariah. It would be politically impossible even for other western countries to associate with the US at that point. On top of that, this would expose the US army as being incredibly weak in practice. If they have to reach for their ultimate weapon after only a month of fighting that means the US has very little conventional power. Russia is on the fourth year of war in Ukraine and they haven’t had to resort to nukes.

The situation in Lebanon is very much dire though, and it seems like that’s gong to be up to Hezbollah with little support from Iran until the ceasefire collapses again.

Russia is obviously able to expand sales to more customers, and diversification makes sense as well. They don’t want to be reliant on one or two big customers here. Also, selling at a discount on spot market still brings in far more revenue than long term pipeline contracts with Europe did. Meanwhile, the west is literally facilitating a genocide in Gaza and people living in western countries have zero moral ground to bray about Russia at this point. Finally, not sure what these big efforts to transition away are exactly. So far, it’s pretty clear that Russia has done far more to transition away from Europe than the other way around.

great attention to detail

We already know what will happen because we’ve already seen what happened during the tariff war. The reality is that American economy is entirely dependent on goods from China to function. If the Burger Reich gets too uppity then China will shut off the flow of treats. It’s really that simple.

That’s also a great point.

The fact that this genocidal sack of shit was you lr ‘best’ president is the point https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2017-01-17/obamas-covert-drone-war-in-numbers-ten-times-more-strikes-than-bush

Oh hey, quick question. Did you know that Iran sells most of its oil to China? Guess what would happen if the Burger Reich tried to interdict Chinese ships. China will simply stop selling essential things to you like they did during the tariff war, and then daddy is going to have to beg Xi for forgiveness again so your economy doesn’t collapse.

What’s actually happening here is that Russia is grabbing the market early and undercutting the Burger Reich. Once they’ve secured customers then prices will obviously go up.