☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆

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Joined 7 years ago
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Cake day: January 18th, 2020

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  • People really need to stop parroting this line uncritically. The process takes time because even when you’re distilling answers, you still need to actually do reinforcement training on the model. And given that Fable and GPT 5.6 just came out there simply hasn’t been much time to do that. However, models like Kimi also do better than Fable or GPT on a lot of tasks, which means it’s not just distillation but also difference in architecture. You can watch this talk from Kimi founder to see how Kimi was actually trained and why it performs well.

    It’s also absolutely hilarious that people think only Chinese companies use distillation, as if Anthropic or OpenAI are above that or something. Not to mention that they basically ignored copyrights on all the data the siphoned and are now crying that people aren’t respecting their terms of use.

    The reality is that China tops the world in artificial intelligence publications today. Chinese labs have come up with a bunch of genuine innovations: GRPO, auxiliary loss free MoE load balancing, MLA, muon optimizer, and a bunch of other ones. The Deepseek papers are really well written, this isn’t just sneaking a peek at a peer. Anybody who thinks China is simply distilling glorius American models is not engaging with reality.

    Not to mention that US companies models constantly distill each other as Musk was forced to admit under oath. This whole narrative has just been a massive cope.


  • I disagree for the simple reason that Iran can fight back. Iranians have now pushed the US occupation forces all the way back to Jordan, and they’re getting clapped there too, so now they’re pulling even further west to Israel. And Iran has already demonstrated they can hit Israel as well. So, we already see how Iran cleared the shit out of the Gulf over the past couple of month successfully. All the US forward radar stations, staging facilities, warehouses, barracks, are gone now.

    There is quite literally no way for the US to mount any sort of an effective ground invasion right now. And they’re afraid to fly jets into Iran as well at this point because Iran has been taking them down at an incredible rate. So, the US is reduced to lobbing missiles into Iran which they have a very limited supply of and cannot make more.

    And since Iran is able to hit Israel as well, US assets there will be eliminated the same way they were everywhere else. That’s the reality. Part of the psychological warfare of the empire is to convince people that it’s all powerful and invincible and that it can do whatever it wants. That’s just propaganda you’ve internalized.

    You can’t manifest a war of attrition here.









  • Not really, while it’s supposed to be released on the 27th, you need massive hardware to run it. So, it won’t be useful to individuals. The problem from Anthropic perspective is that other providers will be able to run Kimi at that point. Moonshot has already closed subscriptions because they’re at capacity, so they actually benefit from more companies running and offering Kimi since they can only serve so many requests themselves. On the other hand, Anthropic has to foot the bill for every instance of Claude themselves.


  • The problem for the US is the logistics. They already spent a lot of stocks in Ukraine before taking on Iran. The industrial capacity in the US is not able to replenish weapons anywhere close to the rate they’re being used. They have to ferry the weapons half way across the world, and they can’t protect their staging bases because Iran can hit them with missiles all across the region. And it’s very difficult to do any sort of a ground invasion of Iran because it’s a huge mountainous country. I simply don’t see how the US can keep the war going realistically here.

    On top of all that, the global energy crisis from the closure of Hormuz and now Bab el-Mandeb is hitting the US as well. Gas prices are already back to $4 on average, and it’s the one thing the US public actually responds to politically. The reserves are starting to run dry as well, and when that runs out shit will really hit the fan. And I think that’s actually the biggest lever Iran has here. They have the US by the balls here.



  • I feel the opposite actually. All this sort of stuff was always happening. The US has been committing times against humanity since time immemorial. Look at the atrocities in Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, Iraq, all over Latin America and Africa. Typically, we wouldn’t even know these things were happening, and people would only discover the extent of the crimes decades later. Now, thanks to the internet, we are seeing it as it happens, and people are reacting. There are protests, there is organizing happening, and people are rejecting the genocide. Even heavily propagandized publics like Americans are now turning on Israel and against the war on Iran. This is all happening faster than before, and the empire is failing militarily while its soft power is collapsing globally.

    Yes, there are horrors happening, and the climate crisis is unfolding, but there are also positive things happening in the world. China is seeing the biggest leap in human development in history, and the rest of Asia being pulled along with it. There is a path to a better future here, but we have to fight for it.