• thefluffiest@feddit.nl
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    33 minutes ago

    In answer to your questions:

    1. This article doesn’t discuss that, however, it does mention that the global effects of the Super El Niño (SEN) are already being felt.
    2. According to the models in the article, European winter temperatures will be somewhat higher (1 to 2C) than usual. Snowfall in general will be lower, though higher in the Alps. That could support the idea that, like in 2026, early meltwater will fill the Alpine rivers (Rhine, Rhône, Donau) but be depleted relatively early come summer. However, there is no summer forecast yet.
    3. The higher temperatures forecast are just 1 to 2C. That’s warmer but not a lot. Results will be less ice and snow so more runoff rainwater, possibly contributing to a dryer summer. Warmer temperatures are also not great for flora and fauna that depend on winters being cold.
    4. This article doesn’t go into that, but given the SEN it wouldn’t be strange to think that 2027 will be a very hot year. This is also predicted by James Hansen, though he thinks high temperatures are not only a result of the SEN, but of climate change having gone into overdrive because climate sensitivity is much higher than the IPCC seems to think. See also here.