I hope the USA forces are moved back to be mostly harmless; but the war will not stop as long as the Trump circles can make huge amounts of money from market manipulations.
And I have leaned to never underestimate these things. There are always missiles to fire too. Even if supplies are low. This war can last until the end of his presidency.
Not only that:
A threat of a nuclear attack, repeated several times, and an actual explosion, will make Trump and his cronies hundreds of billions of dollars if they stretch out the events. He has nothing restraining him.
This crises is still a long time from ending. And be worse later.
Again, explain to me how the US prosecutes this war in material terms though. I’m not debating whether Trump and his circle are making money and might want to keep the war going. I’m talking about the physical reality we live in where you have to produce weapons, establish logistics, supply troops, protect your assets from attack, and so on. How does the US do these things?
I can guarantee you that the US economy will not survive the closure of the Persian Gulf until the end of his presidency.
Badly, and with nuclear threats . But it will do them. I do not dispute it will loose in a conventional way.
I think where we differ is you expect a stop in hostilities after the USA is beaten; and I feel since the reason for this war is only market manipulation; the war will continue, however it can
I mean that’s all been tried already in the first month. The US was seriously considering using nukes, but it wouldn’t solve the problem. And where we differ is that I expect the US economy will crash and the US will have a USSR style collapse. It’s really important to separate the base from the superstructure here. All these things like market manipulation and other machinations require a stable foundation at the bottom, and that’s been eroded for many decades now. And no amount of financial tricks can change the material reality because you can’t just wish things into being in the real world.
I think the USA is remarkably stable; yes there will be vast hardship and many bad things will happen. But I do not see anything to take advantage of this weakness, good or bad.
I hope the USA forces are moved back to be mostly harmless; but the war will not stop as long as the Trump circles can make huge amounts of money from market manipulations.
And I have leaned to never underestimate these things. There are always missiles to fire too. Even if supplies are low. This war can last until the end of his presidency.
Not only that:
A threat of a nuclear attack, repeated several times, and an actual explosion, will make Trump and his cronies hundreds of billions of dollars if they stretch out the events. He has nothing restraining him.
This crises is still a long time from ending. And be worse later.
Again, explain to me how the US prosecutes this war in material terms though. I’m not debating whether Trump and his circle are making money and might want to keep the war going. I’m talking about the physical reality we live in where you have to produce weapons, establish logistics, supply troops, protect your assets from attack, and so on. How does the US do these things?
I can guarantee you that the US economy will not survive the closure of the Persian Gulf until the end of his presidency.
Badly, and with nuclear threats . But it will do them. I do not dispute it will loose in a conventional way.
I think where we differ is you expect a stop in hostilities after the USA is beaten; and I feel since the reason for this war is only market manipulation; the war will continue, however it can
I mean that’s all been tried already in the first month. The US was seriously considering using nukes, but it wouldn’t solve the problem. And where we differ is that I expect the US economy will crash and the US will have a USSR style collapse. It’s really important to separate the base from the superstructure here. All these things like market manipulation and other machinations require a stable foundation at the bottom, and that’s been eroded for many decades now. And no amount of financial tricks can change the material reality because you can’t just wish things into being in the real world.
I don’t think he can maintain stability at home through an energy crisis. Oil is going to run out and the country will become ungovernable.
I think the USA is remarkably stable; yes there will be vast hardship and many bad things will happen. But I do not see anything to take advantage of this weakness, good or bad.