• HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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    8 hours ago

    Unfortunately I think this is it for Iran, they can only do two things now: full scorched earth or capitulate. And it’s likely going to be capitulate.

    They can’t tit for tat after today’s attacks. The US went after infrastructure this time. If they close the strait again they’re prepared to go to full war.

    I think. What the fuck do I know. But would bet within 48 hours:

    1. Surrender by the Iranian regime, much better terms than currently negotiated.
    2. US ground invasion to topple the regime.
    3. Iran goes all out closing the strait, bombing everything within reach, fully mobilizing military
    • queermunist she/her@lemmy.ml
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      7 hours ago

      Iran can keep the strait closed even if the US goes all out, all flattening Iran would do is ensure the strait stays closed long enough for the oil reserves to run out. The US has to know this. The question is if they’re stupid enough to do it anyway.

    • vapor_body@lemmy.ml
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      7 hours ago
      1. lol
      2. from what bases???
      3. why not just keep drawing it out until the effects are felt down the supply chain? they’ve been going tit-for-tat so far
      • HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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        8 hours ago

        All three?

        Dayam, well I won’t fight you cause I’m no position to claim I know enough…but I’m curious what you think? Just more tit for tat/straits open/straits closed/etc?

        • mrdown@lemmy.world
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          7 hours ago

          I expect return of the full scale war for a short period and then return to negociation because the usa will fail again.,The usa tried everything last time. It did hit infrastructures. The irgc will not surrender that for sure. They still have the control. They still have most of their missiles most of their drones to continue the closure of the straight . Iran can also closure beb el mendeb