International Energy Agency head Fatih Birol warned that commercial oil inventories are rapidly depleting, with only a few weeks of supply remaining due to the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz closure. Strategic reserve releases have provided temporary relief, but demand is increasing with seasonal shifts. The agency previously forecast a surplus but now anticipates a significant shortfall this year.
Damage to whom?
Oil scarcity will increase the sale prices for oil massively. Which means the profits for big oil will go through the roof.
Everyone else will loose, sure.
In the short-term, you are right. In the long-term, this is pretty much the end for fossil fuels. Not only is solar cheaper, it’s also more reliable now.