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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • It’s because GPT5 was such a disappointment.

    Partly because they hyped it up beyond belief and partly because the results are actually bad. GPT3 to 4 was a big step up and with all the marketing people expected 4 to 5 to be just as big of a step. It turned out to be mostly a step sideways and in many aspects even a step back. Energy consumption is rumoured to be up, hallucinations are up and user experience is way down. At the same time all of the very public and high profile promises made are being broken and for a change people actually noticed.

    The sentiment in the market was down for a while, but GPT5 release really kicked everything into high gear. Earlier people were disapointed “AI” didn’t live up to the hype. Regular folks use it all the time as a replacement search engine, because Google had gotten so bad. But in businesses adoption was slow and where it was used the gains promised weren’t seen. If the product was given away for free, people would use it, but even modestly paid subscriptions weren’t taking off. But people thought: Hey, this is just the current level of tech, the next level is going to be so much better and improve a lot right? GPT5 proved that wasn’t really true, so people lost faith fast.

    LLM system are rapidly running into diminishing returns with larger models not yielding better results and sometimes even worse results. They also run into the issue they’ve poisoned the well. They used to train on data from the internet, but with the internet being flooded by output from older AI models, it’s eating it’s own shit. That’s really bad for the performance of the newer models. Especially on things like coding and such, where it relies on code examples to produce new code. With Stackoverflow dying due to a lot of things, but AI being a big factor, there isn’t as much of that as there used to be. Same for other stuff on the internet, once you kill the internet that great source of data is lost.

    Now I don’t think it’s as worse (or good depending on your point of view) as some articles make it out to be. Many companies still see AI as the infinite money well the marketing claims it to be. A lot of people use it all the time, even though they’ve had negative experiences with it. But it’s somewhat good to see some reality seeping in here and there.

    I fully expect the shit to hit the fan and the bubble to burst in a catastrophic way. This will be bad, way worse than when the dotcom bubble burst. It’s not going to be good for anyone. But better it burst soon than keep pumping it up further.




  • I would think all the incidents with fracking have shown rock not to be as impermeable as one would expect or want. Doing this and not causing huge issues seems very hard to me. And also very situational, which is a big problem pumped hydro has.

    Pumped hydro works really well and is just about as efficient as we can realistically do, but you need to have the right circumstances. Like a biggish elevation difference, a place to store enough water at the top and bottom for it to be worth while and a connection in between to pump through and take out the energy in the other direction. Plus close enough to a place that needs the power not to be killed by transport losses.

    This thing seems to require the perfect conditions as well, which may prove even harder to find compared to places for pumped hydro.


  • An LLM cannot be anything other than a bullshit machine. It just guesses at what the next word would likely be. And because it’s trained on source data that contains truths as well as non truths, by chance sometimes what comes out is true. But it doesn’t “know” what is true and what isn’t.

    No matter what they try to do, this won’t change. And is one of the main reasons the LLM path will never lead to AGI, although parts of what makes up an LLM could possibly be used inside something that gets to the AGI level.



  • You would have to ask a doctor, don’t take medical advice from the internet.

    From what I know it can irritate the skin and can lead to long term issues with the skin like dermatitis. It can also cause blood vessels to rupture under the skin, which is usually not a big issue and will heal. But it can cause some pain and leave a mark when healed and will only heal when it is given time to rest up, which can be hard if one is used to a lot of masturbation. If it isn’t allowed to heal, it can cause more problems. I’m sure there can be more issues, but I don’t know about those.

    A lot of the risks of masturbation are myths or exaggerated a lot. Wanking once or twice a day is probably fine. And your body will let you know when you’ve overdone it.

    And to add: Poor hygiene is a lot bigger risk than masturbation ever is. Keep your bottoms clean!


  • PORNHUB

    It’s Pornhub, like https://pornhub.com/. One of the biggest (if not the biggest) porn site on the planet, used by millions if not billions. There is nothing wrong with watching porn if you feel like it. What you do in your own home is your own business. Just don’t wank too much, or you are going to have health issues. Which are also totally normal and you should just go talk to your doctor, they will not be surprised or shocked, it is literally their job to deal with stuff like that.

    I feel the world is going crazy. Shoving all of this stuff under the carpet isn’t helping anyone and won’t make it go away. Half of the time I can’t understand my young niece and nephew because they speak in this code language, evolving all the time so they can talk about normal stuff young people talk about and stay ahead of the big censor machine. And often it’s censored so poorly, everyone can still read it, like what was the point then?



  • She did a follow-up on this on a recent Q&A with Adam Savage. She doesn’t use it at all, because her stump is too small. This means she has almost no leverage and strength in the stump. She said she likes the aesthetics but it’s not practical.

    Imho she needs something with like a servo assist or something hydraulic. But that means stuff like a power supply, pump, sensor, controller, plumbing etc. It would get messy fast for something that’s on your hand. If it’s more of the hand it could make sense, but the loss of only the little finger probably has almost zero impact on the use of the hand.


  • Because they operate on a very outdated understanding of how the world works. In their mind they own the games, they made them after all. The people “buying” the games don’t really buy them, they just get a copy of the software and the license to use that copy. That license is limited in what you can and can’t do. You can play them by yourself in your own home. You can even play with other people if they are physically in your own home. However if you want to do anything beyond that, it’s outside of the license and thus not allowed. If you want to put on an event featuring their games, you need to apply for a license to do so and probably pay Nintendo for that license. Nintendo wants to limit the license even further lately, limiting playing inside your own home to their rules and limiting resale of the game (license).

    This may sound crazy, and it is, however this is very much how music still works. And how movies and TV series used to work, and partly still do. It’s a limited license for enjoying the media in your own home only. Technically when you throw a party, you would have to apply for a license to play the music you already own. When money is involved, like a bigger event and you don’t play by their rules, expect to get sued. This is why the entertainment industry is so huge and the people in the top make so much money.

    In the West we’ve accepted this doesn’t apply to video games for the most part. Copying the game is a no-go, but using a game for entertainment purposes is allowed. When a streamer plays a game, they add enough of their own value for it not to be considered a violation. Even at large events, it’s usually allowed. Although depending on the context, often license deals are made for the really big events.

    There’s gray areas as well, such as game modding or using the assets of a game to create a new game. This is also usually accepted, with services like Steam activily supporting mods and such. Most game devs like it when a community forms around their games and support mods. But not Nintendo, they hate this. They go after anyone doing this. Famously almost destroying the careers of people playing modded Nintendo games for entertainment. (Especially SMW romhacks). And people have to go through all sorts of hoops not to attract the eye of Nintendo (like how Ship of Harkinian does things). Another gray area is music in video games, usually that music has a rather open license. But not always and services like Twitch have made deals with the music industry in order to keep existing. That means upholding things like DMCA and muting or even disabling videos which contain copyrighted music. One recent example of this is Death Stranding, which contains so much copyrighted music it’s problematic for everyone involved.

    It has taken a very long time for the music industry to get around to the concept of streaming music. And even then the license is super limited and people don’t own the music they pay for. Same for movies, TV series and other media. It has made them rich for decades, why give that up? Nintendo has always had the same mindset when it comes to video games and aren’t going to change.

    Personally I don’t know why we put up with the BS system for music and other media. Especially the length of time for copyright these days. But large companies like Disney have so much power, it isn’t going to change quickly. I feel the only reason we have music streaming at all is because the piracy got so bad they had to. And even then they fought it hard, demanding tens of thousands of dollars from little Timmy who downloaded a Metallica song.



  • Dying Light 1 was excellent, loved it a lot and played it a lot.

    Dying Light 2 was terrible, I don’t know why it got as much praise as it did. It had zero enemy variety, copy pasted assets all over the place, entire copy pasted missions. The whole night time stuff was a joke because the AI was so terrible. It ran like shit on release. The story and characters weren’t interesting at all, where this was a strong point of the first game.

    So I don’t know if I trust them for a 3rd time. They had beter come out swinging with a real banger.




  • Not below average dev necessarily, but when posting code examples on the internet people often try to get a point across. Like how do I solve X? Here is code that solves X perfectly, the rest of the code is total crap, ignore that and focus on the X part. Because it’s just an example, it doesn’t really matter. But when it’s used to train an LLM it’s all just code. It doesn’t know which parts are important and which aren’t.

    And this becomes worse when small little bits of code are included in things like tutorials. That means it’s copy pasted all over the place, on forums, social media, stackoverflow etc. So it’s weighted way more heavily. And the part where the tutorial said: “Warning, this code is really bad and insecure, it’s just an example to show this one thing” gets lost in the shuffle.

    Same thing when an often used pattern when using a framework gets replaced by new code where the framework does a little bit more so the same pattern isn’t needed anymore. The LLM will just continue with the old pattern, even though there’s often a good reason it got replaced (for example security issues). And if the new and old version aren’t compatible with each other, you are in for a world of hurt trying to use an LLM.

    And now with AI slop flooding all of these places where they used to get their data, it just becomes worse and worse.

    These are just some of the issues why using an LLM for coding is probably a really bad idea.



  • Unfortunatly even when you are in the hospital when this happens and everyone around you is aware of what’s happening fast enough to act, it’s probably still fatal. Often times this happens deep inside the brain, there is no way to get someone into brain surgery fast enough. And even if somehow the doctors can get in there, often there is nothing to be done. If it’s deep in the brain, there is no good way of getting in there without causing a lot of damage and depending on the exact situation it can’t even be fixed.

    It’s just one of those really sad things that happens without anybody being able to do something about it.

    This is unfortunatly common in my family and I’ve had family members eating themselves up about it, if they just acted faster and got them to the hospital faster. But everyone from the hospital side was very clear about this, there is nothing that anyone could have done.