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Cake day: 2023年6月16日

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  • Yeah, it isn’t impossible. However, I expect there would be a radical rethink of food supply chains. This would likely include more grocery stores adopting the Aldi/Trader Joe’s model of fewer brands and selection of product since the cost of differentiation gets borne more by the store. There would likely be an increase in public markets with several vendors as each vendor is effectively a brand of food.

    I think enshittification will hit and don’t grocery stores will either stop offering container sanitization as a service or will start selling the service independently and incorporating the higher cost in shelf products. Grocery stores operate on thin margins, so I expect this cost to get transferred to consumers somehow.

    I also think a lot of existing companies will fight this tooth and nail as their bottling and canning lines provide a massive barrier to entry for competition. I also think a lot of customers will fight this since it radically changes how they shop.



  • Glass jars aren’t reused because of the infrastructure required to reuse them. The only glass I can think of which is reused outside of the point of sale are soda and beer bottles, and that is only usually at restaurants which will collect the bottles they use to ship back.

    Outside of a massive sorting facility in every supermarket generating no value for the store owner, the only other way to ensure bottle reuse would be subscription delivery like milk used to be or hyper focused stores which only sell a few products like how grocery shopping used to be.







  • You have two wars directly affecting major hydrocarbon exporting countries and the strategic reserves of several countries are at a generational low. Shell is likely betting that oil is going to spike, which probably isn’t bad for electrification as a concept.

    We’ve also been seeing in adjacent industries that the skills to succeed in hydrocarbon related energy don’t exactly transfer well to non-hydrocarbon related energy. Shell may be bad at building out solar because solar works on different scales than they are used to.


  • Part of it is greed. Part of it is that television and physical media subsidized a lot of streaming’s content and now that money is gone. There has already been a collapse of some types of movies and TV shows because the economics that led to their golden age are no longer there.

    Netflix used to get streaming rights for pennies because production companies made their money through other sources. Now those income streams are dead.









  • A lot of colonial American power structures fit the intent of what you’re describing. For law enforcement, the local government would usually designate someone to be the head of law enforcement for day to day activities and there would be a communal drawing of manpower from the local community if the need arose. For the military, you had local militias which had elected officers and would vote on strategic actions if time permitted.

    You’re likely going to see a lot of people here completely reject these forms of local communal government because communal doesn’t mean equal. For instance, the enforcement of slavery was a communal action in the South; free whites gladly assisted in the capture of escaped slaves.



  • Yeah. I had one teacher in an advanced math class say that you have to treat “gifted” students as a form of special education because traditional educational techniques don’t work on them. The reason why a lot of schools don’t do this is because a poorly performing “gifted” student will generally meet minimum education standards even if they are performing well below their potential.