We are at 1.3°C above pre-industrial average temperature. Scientists think we will pass 2.5°C.
An NDC is an abbreviation for ‘nationally determined contribution’ i.e. what the world says they will do to mitigate climate change.
“The best estimate of peak temperature in the twenty-first century (projected mostly for 2100 when temperature continues to rise) is in the range of 2.1–2.9 °C depending on the underlying assumptions.52 Without implementation of any conditional elements of NDCs, the best estimate of temperature change is 2.5–2.9 °C warming. Assuming full implementation of NDCs, including all conditional elements, the best estimate for peak global mean temperature is 2.1–2.4 °C.”
https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2022_04.pdf https://nitter.net/EliotJacobson/status/1683535568268050432
Just voooooooote. Surely the democrats will save us!!!
I wonder what effect this will have on the economy and shareholder profit?
How we can maintain infinite growth? This shit even has own emoticons on Android 💹📈
Every year another decade long weather record gets broken over here and I keep wondering when these records will only last one or two years. Global warming is no joke.
Some of them already are but the kinds of records being broken are getting worse
we gotta do something about it as comrades fighting for the proletarian cause. Too many libs in environmental politics
And people still think climate change isn’t happening because it snowed (a tiny amount) last winter. And apparently no one was talking about “global warming” then either. Fucking idiots. How can a grown ass man understand so little of the world?
There are a lot of thoughts here. Doomerism is obviously not productive. If it helps, antarctic sea ice is not what we should worry about - the southern hemisphere is relatively more stable due to less land and antarctica itself. The blue ocean event (no north pole sea ice) is the one you should worry about, probably late 2020s. Because once ice finishes melting the energy goes into increasing temperature instead of state change from ice to liquid. The good (dubious) news is, the global capitalist economy is much more fragile than it might seem. In my opinion, industrial civilization would collapse before we would surpass 4 C warming, which still leaves most of the planet as “habitable”. I believe economic growth will turn negative much past 2 C warming, thereby limiting subsequent warming. Because we’re warming the planet so fast, the system destabilizes at much lower temperatures than we have on the fossil record. At the risk of being sanguine (ok yeah this whole post is sanguine), it’s kind of nice that the heat accumulating at the ocean surface will not have time to interact much with deep, cool ocean water. So we’ll wind up feeling much more heat in the short-term than we’d feel in the long-term, which could spur humanity to actually do something. Overall, communists should feel optimism in the face of economies running up against planetary boundaries. Humanity’s survival depends on global cooperation. Replacing capitalism with socialism would be a (the only?) feasible way to achieve this. We’re already seeing beastly temperatures and extreme weather worldwide. I would bet that the children being born today will see these horrific weather events and start movements that will make Extinction Rebellion and Just Stop Oil look like tea parties. If we don’t blow ourselves up in the next 30 years then, I’m fairly optimistic. But perhaps I underestimate the ability of capitalism to assimilate young minds
HA HA HA WE’RE SO FUCKED
It is an El - nino year paired with us getting closer to solar maximum in 2025 (solar maximum can increase the temperature by up to 0.10 degrees C), climate is measured across decades to account for yearly variation.
Also the twitter user who made this was unable to justify a normal distribution and said that he would stop doing this. So the creator of the graph doesn’t even believe in it.
