• Dave.@aussie.zone
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          11 hours ago

          I’m just waiting for the closed-source AI industry to have their Black Swan moment.

          Something’s going to come out of left field from the open AI community and all that investment in proprietary models and mega-compute is going to be rendered useless.

          • eleitl@lemmy.zip
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            6 hours ago

            You still need the mega-compute. Even for inference, 1.5 terabytes of RAM in modern servers isn’t cheap.

            • Dave.@aussie.zone
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              40 minutes ago

              You’re not thinking black-swan enough.

              You’re typing your comments using a blob of goo with about a hundred million neurons in it that cycles under a hundred hertz and draws less than 20 watts.

              I don’t think that we’ll be running packs of goo in our PCs any time soon. But I do think some entirely different way of looking at the problem will emerge that will reduce computational requirements by many orders of magnitude. And it won’t involve gigantic statistical engines trying to find the best average response to a question.

          • P03 Locke@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            21 hours ago

            It could be TurboQuant or something like it. The biggest detraction to local LLM models is being able to close the gulf between obscenely-expensive 512GB NPUs, to house the 230GB uncompressed models (+ context), and more common 24GB GPUs. Quantized 15-18GB models are already working pretty well, but context size is still a bit of a problem.

            Of course, the whole industry need to ramp up memory production and wrestle duopolies from the few that can make the raw silicon. It was pretty fucking pathetic that parts of the PC industry decided to leave these silicon processing weaknesses in various places. Large corps could have easily jumped into the industry and made bank in the long-term, but that would require not funneling into short-term quarterly profit bullshit.

      • nosuchanon@lemmy.world
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        5 hours ago

        It’s not that complicated. Recreating training data via distillation is basically asking structured questions and recording the responses and reformatting that to use as cleaned “good” training data. Much less energy and compute intensive than creating the training data on your own.

        I think I remeber reading somewhere how Chinese research’s do this by basically using bots and spreading out the distillation to many source queries.

        • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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          5 hours ago

          The process takes time because even when you’re distilling answers, you still need to actually do reinforcement training on the model. And given that Fable and GPT 5.6 just came out there simply hasn’t been much time to do that. However, models like Kimi also do better than Fable or GPT on a lot of tasks, which means it’s not just distillation but also difference in architecture. You can watch this talk from Kimi founder to see how Kimi was actually trained and why it performs well.

          It’s also absolutely hilarious that people think only Chinese companies use distillation, as if Anthropic or OpenAI are above that or something. Not to mention that they basically ignored copyrights on all the data the siphoned and are now crying that people aren’t respecting their terms of use.

          • nosuchanon@lemmy.world
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            3 hours ago

            Yeah I know they’re not the only companies doing distillation, it’s just currently in the news and on peoples minds.

      • nosuchanon@lemmy.world
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        12 hours ago

        Not really. I’m glad that China is copying AI models and providing them for cheaper usage or open sourcing the training.

        I don’t believe any US company should monopolize the entirety of human knowledge.

        • ResistingArrest@lemmy.zip
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          7 hours ago

          I gotta know what you mean by “copying” ai models. Same training data? Amount of training? How would you go about copying a closed-source model. I think china is just…. Making good models.