I don’t really know what to make of it to be honest. I always knew it would be “over” before all of the circumstances that made it an emergency were over. Actually I was very surprised it continued to be taken seriously for as long as it did at least here in Australia because I assumed political and economic interests would kick in after only a very short while I guess because of my usual cynicism.
However, part of the trouble with the whole thing is that there’s no agreement on what over would really mean and no acceptable set of preconditions that could reasonably be set to define it. It’s very unlikely we’ll ever eradicate the virus, so we need to become endemic, but it’s also very contagious and frequently mutates. We can set the threshold of the point at which health services can keep on top of cases but that’s dependent on different contexts in different countries and regions and also politics. We can help that along tremendously with vaccines but that has to keep going and be taken by whopping majorities of people forever. Take up was good, but helped in large part by being an emergency and if it needs to be an emergency to achieve that then it will never be “over”. It’s also difficult because while critics and conspiracy theorists kept pointing out how the mortality rate was comparatively low against other infections diseases, the comparatively heavy (albeit with a shaky start) public measures to combat the disease could be justified by both the numbers of people vulnerable to it making the total number of deaths high and the fact that we posessed means we previously didn’t to respond to such a pandemic scenario which made us ethically obliged to do so. That’s all entirely reasonable justification for being in a state of varying forms of “emergency” which allowed for temporary and extraordinary measures but it begins to wear away with time as the consequences of the measures begin to manifest their own harms and ironically as our measures begin to see some success.
It’s a hell of a problem because diseases just don’t fit with the way we go about solving problems which is more like a project with an end date and a budget and a tally of easily identified harms and benefits. Unfortunately it means COVID will inevitably be “over” because we say it is before it ever actually can truly be and it kind of puts us on track for more waves of it and also for forgetting about and leaving behind people still contracting or suffering lasting consequences from it.
But I don’t really see a solution. It really does have to be over at some point. People genuinely can’t be expected to be worrying about this forever and eventually will tire of caution and tire of restrictions and as well they should since we’d consider it madness to still be in a state of health emergency with temporary restrictions to freedom of movement and business and mandatory medical procedures and constant news broadcasts with the latest case numbers for the Spanish Flu pandemic, it even the 2003 SARS virus.
There are better vaccines and antivirals coming out of the research pipeline. There are generics for Paxlovid coming on the market. In the short-term, mask and ventilate.
Well said. I see a considerable number of people online advocating going back to harsh restrictions, when in real life no one I know asks for that even when they are vulnerable. The reality is that there isn’t the public will to go back to restrictions like at the beginning of the pandemic, and the situation is better than it was. It would be impossible to stamp it out anyway, we just need to learn to live with it.
That’s probably the only real conclusion to draw from what I said, but I guess not quite what I said. I don’t really advocate that nothing should be done but I just can’t really see how it could given certain realities and I wonder to what end measures should be undertaken. That’s very similar I guess to “we just need to learn to live with it” but there’s an important acknowledgement there that I make which is that inaction, while perhaps inevitable, is going to lead consequences that we aren’t going to like.
I don’t really know what to make of it to be honest. I always knew it would be “over” before all of the circumstances that made it an emergency were over. Actually I was very surprised it continued to be taken seriously for as long as it did at least here in Australia because I assumed political and economic interests would kick in after only a very short while I guess because of my usual cynicism.
However, part of the trouble with the whole thing is that there’s no agreement on what over would really mean and no acceptable set of preconditions that could reasonably be set to define it. It’s very unlikely we’ll ever eradicate the virus, so we need to become endemic, but it’s also very contagious and frequently mutates. We can set the threshold of the point at which health services can keep on top of cases but that’s dependent on different contexts in different countries and regions and also politics. We can help that along tremendously with vaccines but that has to keep going and be taken by whopping majorities of people forever. Take up was good, but helped in large part by being an emergency and if it needs to be an emergency to achieve that then it will never be “over”. It’s also difficult because while critics and conspiracy theorists kept pointing out how the mortality rate was comparatively low against other infections diseases, the comparatively heavy (albeit with a shaky start) public measures to combat the disease could be justified by both the numbers of people vulnerable to it making the total number of deaths high and the fact that we posessed means we previously didn’t to respond to such a pandemic scenario which made us ethically obliged to do so. That’s all entirely reasonable justification for being in a state of varying forms of “emergency” which allowed for temporary and extraordinary measures but it begins to wear away with time as the consequences of the measures begin to manifest their own harms and ironically as our measures begin to see some success.
It’s a hell of a problem because diseases just don’t fit with the way we go about solving problems which is more like a project with an end date and a budget and a tally of easily identified harms and benefits. Unfortunately it means COVID will inevitably be “over” because we say it is before it ever actually can truly be and it kind of puts us on track for more waves of it and also for forgetting about and leaving behind people still contracting or suffering lasting consequences from it.
But I don’t really see a solution. It really does have to be over at some point. People genuinely can’t be expected to be worrying about this forever and eventually will tire of caution and tire of restrictions and as well they should since we’d consider it madness to still be in a state of health emergency with temporary restrictions to freedom of movement and business and mandatory medical procedures and constant news broadcasts with the latest case numbers for the Spanish Flu pandemic, it even the 2003 SARS virus.
There are better vaccines and antivirals coming out of the research pipeline. There are generics for Paxlovid coming on the market. In the short-term, mask and ventilate.
Well said. I see a considerable number of people online advocating going back to harsh restrictions, when in real life no one I know asks for that even when they are vulnerable. The reality is that there isn’t the public will to go back to restrictions like at the beginning of the pandemic, and the situation is better than it was. It would be impossible to stamp it out anyway, we just need to learn to live with it.
That’s probably the only real conclusion to draw from what I said, but I guess not quite what I said. I don’t really advocate that nothing should be done but I just can’t really see how it could given certain realities and I wonder to what end measures should be undertaken. That’s very similar I guess to “we just need to learn to live with it” but there’s an important acknowledgement there that I make which is that inaction, while perhaps inevitable, is going to lead consequences that we aren’t going to like.